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Professional Experience
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32 years experience in fisheries research and fish stock
assessment with Fisheries and Oceans Canada. My research has included
stock assessment methods and application with a recent emphasis on
management strategy evaluation through feedback loop simulation. I have
studied changes in fish population demographic characteristics including
growth, juvenile survival, and adult natural mortality and the
implications of these changes on productivity and management reference
points. I have also investigated geologic and oceanographic factors
influencing the spatial distribution of fish species, and the influence
of environmental factors on recruitment.
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Practical experience in planning, managing and leading
fisheries research: stock assessment, population and fishery modeling,
research surveys, fish tagging, fishery observers, catch sampling,
computer programming, consultation, presentation, administration.
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National and international fisheries organizations: Pacific
Scientific Advice Review Committee (PSARC) chair of Groundfish
Subcommittee; Canadian Atlantic Fisheries Advisory Committee (CAFSAC)
chaired the Groundfish Subcommittee, the Statistics Sampling and Surveys
Subcommittee; NAFO stock assessments and symposia; ICES annual science
conferences, symposia and working groups; PICES annual science
conference. Participated in fishery stock assessment meetings as
reviewer and presenter in PSARC, CAFSAC, NAFO, ICES, and US National
Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) Stock Assessment Review (STAR) Panels.
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Consultative role on fisheries research and management to
government agencies and fishing industry committees. Numerous
presentations and consultations with Canadian fisheries management
organizations including the Fisheries Resource Conservation Council,
Atlantic Groundfish Advisory Committee, Gulf Groundfish Advisory
Committee, Groundfish Trawlers Advisory Committee. Participated in
program review of Population Dynamics Branch at NMFS Northeast Fisheries
Science Center (1990), panel member of NMFS stock assessment review of
Gulf of Mexico Red Snapper (1997), fisheries consultant for FAO review
of Moroccan fisheries management plans (1999 and 2000), chaired EU
Fisheries Commission meeting on North Sea groundfish TAC decision rules
(2007).
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Published extensively in the primary and governmental
literature (list of over 70 publications available on request). A list
of selected primary publications:
Shelton,
P.A. and Sinclair, A.F. 2008. It’s time to sharpen our definition of
sustainable fisheries management. Can. J. Fish. Aqua. Sci. In press.
Swain, D.P.,
Sinclair, A.F. and Hanson, J.M. 2006. Evolutionary response to
size-selective mortality in an exploited fish population. Proc. R. Soc.
B. 274: 1015-1022.
Shelton,
P.A., Sinclair, A.F., Chouinard, G.A., Mohn, R. and Duplisea, D.E. 2006.
Fishing under low productivity conditions is further delaying recovery
of Northwest Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). Can. J. Fish. Aquat.
Sci.63: 235-238.
Sinclair,
A.F., Conway, K.W., and Crawford, W.R. 2005. Associations between
bathymetric, geologic and oceanographic features and the distribution of
the British Columbia bottom trawl fishery. ICES CM 2005/L:25. 31 p.
Sinclair,
A.F., and Crawford, W.R. 2005. Incorporating an environmental
stock-recruitment relationship in the assessment of Pacific cod (Gadus
macrocephalus). Fish. Ocean. 41: 138-150.
Swain, D.P.,
Sinclair, A.F., Castonguay, M., Chouinard, G.A., Drinkwater, K.F.,
Fanning, L.P., and Clark, D.S. 2003. Density versus
temperature-dependent growth of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in
the
Gulf of St. Lawrence
and on the Scotian Shelf. Fish. Res. 59: 327-341.
Sinclair,
A.F., Swain, D.P., and Hanson, J.M. 2002. Disentangling the effects of
size-selective mortality, density and temperature on length at age. Can.
J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 59: 372-382.
Sinclair,
A.F., Swain, D.P., and Hanson, J.M. 2002. Measuring changes in the
direction and magnitude of size selective mortality in a commercial fish
population. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 59: 361-371.
Sinclair,
A.F. 2001. Natural mortality of cod (Gadus morhua) in the
Southern Gulf of St. Lawrence. ICES J. mar. Sci. 58: 1-10.
Swain, D.P.,
and Sinclair, A.F. 2000. Pelagic fishes and the cod recruitment dilemma
in the Northwest Atlantic. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 57: 1321-1325.
Gavaris,
S., and Sinclair, A. 1998. From fisheries assessment uncertainty to risk
analysis for immediate management actions. p. 903-916 In F. Funk,
et al. [ed.].Fishery Stock Assessment Models. University of
Alaska, Fairbanks, Alaska.
Sinclair,
A.F. 1998. Estimating trends in fishing mortality at age and length
directly from research survey and commercial catch data. Can. J. Fish.
Aquat. Sci. 55: 1248-1263.
Cook, R.,
Sinclair, A., and Stefánsson, G. 1997. Potential collapse of the North
Sea cod stock. Nature 385: 521-522.
Sinclair,
A.F. 1997. Biological Reference Points Relevant to a Precautionary
Approach to Fisheries Management: an Example for
Southern Gulf of St. Lawrence
Cod. NAFO Sci. Coun. Studies 32: 25-35.
Sinclair,
A.F., and Murawski, S.A. 1997. Why have groundfish stocks declined in
the northwest Atlantic? p. 71-93 In J. Boreman, B. Nakashima, H.
Pauls, J. Wilson and R. Kendall [ed.].Northwest Atlantic
groundfish: perspectives on a fishery collapse. American Fisheries
Society,
Bethesda,
Md.
Swain, D.P.,
and Sinclair, A.F. 1994. Fish distribution and catchability: what is the
appropriate measure of distribution? Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 51:
1046-1054. |